

Fairfax, Virginia carries a BaseScore of 17/100 (Tier 1: Minimal), with 5,377 total threat incidents recorded across the city in 2025. Security teams evaluating Fairfax for operations, travel, or site selection need street-level intelligence to assess risk across their specific operating locations.
Fairfax recorded 5,377 total incidents in 2025, averaging 448 per month. The city's BaseScore of 17/100 (Tier 1: Minimal) reflects the local threat environment. Property Crime accounts for the largest share at 58.5% (3,148 incidents), but threat levels vary at the sub-mile level.
Fairfax's BaseScore of 17/100 places the city in Tier 1: Minimal on the Base Operations risk scale. In 2025, the city recorded 5,377 total incidents across 3 primary categories: Property Crime (58.5%, 3,148 incidents), Violent Crime (26.8%, 1,442 incidents), Regulatory Offenses (14.6%, 787 incidents).
BaseScore is a standardized 0–100 risk rating that enables security teams to compare threat levels across any global location using the same validated methodology. Normalized for population density, weighted by crime severity, and updated monthly from 25,000+ sources, BaseScore delivers the consistent, granular intelligence that replaces fragmented government statistics and expensive consulting assessments. Learn more about our methodology
| Tier | Score Range | Risk Label |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0–20 | Minimal ← Fairfax |
| 2 | 21–40 | Low |
| 3 | 41–60 | Moderate |
| 4 | 61–80 | High |
| 5 | 81–100 | Critical |
Intelligence Disclaimer: The following news items are sourced via AI agent analysis of open sources. Confidence levels reflect source reliability — High: government or Base Operations verified data; Medium: multiple corroborating sources; Low: single source or extrapolated. AI agents can provide incorrect or misleading information. For verified, up-to-date threat analysis, use the Base Operations platform.
Source: NBC Washington | Date: 2024-01-15 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Fairfax County police are investigating a fatal shooting that occurred in Reston, Virginia, on January 14, 2024. The incident left one person dead, and authorities are working to determine the circumstances surrounding the event. No suspects have been named, and the investigation remains ongoing.
Source: FOX 5 DC | Date: 2024-02-09 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
A man has been arrested in Fairfax County, Virginia, in connection with a sexual assault reported in early February 2024. The suspect was apprehended after an investigation by local police, who have not released the identity of the victim. Further details on the case are pending as the legal process continues.
Source: WTOP News | Date: 2024-03-22 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Fairfax County, Virginia, has experienced a noticeable increase in car thefts in early 2024, prompting police to issue warnings to residents. Authorities are advising vehicle owners to lock their cars and avoid leaving valuables inside. The police department is also increasing patrols in affected areas to deter further incidents.
Source: InsideNoVa | Date: 2024-01-30 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Fairfax County police have arrested a suspect believed to be responsible for multiple burglaries across the area in January 2024. The individual was caught after a series of investigations linked them to several break-ins. Police are continuing to gather evidence and are asking residents to report any suspicious activity.
Source: Patch | Date: 2024-02-20 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Fairfax County, Virginia, has introduced a new public safety initiative in February 2024 aimed at reducing crime rates through community engagement and increased police presence. The program includes funding for additional officers and resources for crime prevention education. Local officials hope this will address recent concerns about rising petty crimes in the area.
Fairfax recorded 5,377 total incidents across 3 primary threat categories in 2025.
| Category | 2025 Incidents | % of Total | Monthly Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Property Crime | 3,148 | 58.5% | 262 |
| Violent Crime | 1,442 | 26.8% | 120 |
| Regulatory Offenses | 787 | 14.6% | 66 |
| Total | 5,377 | 100% | 448 |
Data source: Base Operations platform, January–December 2025, Fairfax city-level.
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