

Toronto, carries a BaseScore of 45/100 (Tier 3: Moderate), with 41,000 total threat incidents recorded across the city in 2025. Security teams evaluating Toronto for operations, travel, or site selection need street-level intelligence to assess risk across their specific operating locations.
Toronto recorded 41,000 total incidents in 2025, averaging 0 per month. The city's BaseScore of 45/100 (Tier 3: Moderate) reflects the local threat environment. Property Crime accounts for the largest share at 61.0% (25,000 incidents), but threat levels vary at the sub-mile level.
Toronto's BaseScore of 45/100 places the city in Tier 3: Moderate on the Base Operations risk scale. In 2025, the city recorded 41,000 total incidents across 3 primary categories: Property Crime (61.0%, 25,000 incidents), Violent Crime (24.4%, 10,000 incidents), Regulatory Offenses (14.6%, 6,000 incidents).
BaseScore is a standardized 0–100 risk rating that enables security teams to compare threat levels across any global location using the same validated methodology. Normalized for population density, weighted by crime severity, and updated monthly from 25,000+ sources, BaseScore delivers the consistent, granular intelligence that replaces fragmented government statistics and expensive consulting assessments. Learn more about our methodology
| Tier | Score Range | Risk Label |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0–20 | Minimal |
| 2 | 21–40 | Low |
| 3 | 41–60 | Moderate ← Toronto |
| 4 | 61–80 | High |
| 5 | 81–100 | Critical |
Intelligence Disclaimer: The following news items are sourced via AI agent analysis of open sources. Confidence levels reflect source reliability — High: government or Base Operations verified data; Medium: multiple corroborating sources; Low: single source or extrapolated. AI agents can provide incorrect or misleading information. For verified, up-to-date threat analysis, use the Base Operations platform.
Source: CTV News | Date: 2024-01-15 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Toronto police are investigating a shooting incident in North York where a man was injured. The incident occurred in the early hours, and the victim was taken to the hospital with non-life-threatening injuries. No suspect information has been released yet.
Source: CBC News | Date: 2024-02-20 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Toronto has experienced a significant increase in carjackings over the past few months, prompting police to issue a public safety warning. Authorities are advising residents to remain vigilant and report suspicious activity. Several arrests have been made, but the trend continues to concern officials.
Source: Global News | Date: 2024-03-05 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
A man has been charged following a stabbing incident in downtown Toronto that left one person injured. The altercation reportedly occurred near a busy intersection, and the victim was treated for serious but non-life-threatening injuries. Police are continuing to investigate the circumstances surrounding the event.
Source: Toronto Star | Date: 2024-01-30 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Toronto police have initiated a new campaign aimed at curbing the recent rise in gun violence across the city. The initiative includes increased patrols and community engagement to address underlying causes. Officials are calling for public cooperation to help reduce incidents.
Source: CityNews Toronto | Date: 2024-02-10 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Toronto police are investigating a series of break-ins targeting homes in the city’s east end over the past week. Residents are being urged to secure their properties and report any suspicious behavior. No arrests have been made, and the investigation is ongoing.
Toronto recorded 41,000 total incidents across 3 primary threat categories in 2025.
| Category | 2025 Incidents | % of Total | Monthly Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Property Crime | 25,000 | 61.0% | 2,083 |
| Violent Crime | 10,000 | 24.4% | 833 |
| Regulatory Offenses | 6,000 | 14.6% | 500 |
| Total | 41,000 | 100% | 0 |
Data source: Base Operations platform, January–December 2025, Toronto city-level.
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