

Brasilia, carries a BaseScore of 50/100 (Tier 3: Moderate), with 38,000 total threat incidents recorded across the city in 2025. Security teams evaluating Brasilia for operations, travel, or site selection need street-level intelligence to assess risk across their specific operating locations.
Brasilia's BaseScore of 50/100 (Tier 3: Moderate) reflects the surrounding area's overall criminal incident environment — not protest activity or demonstration risk. Protests in Brasilia are overwhelmingly peaceful and are not categorized as threat events within Base Operations data.
Brasilia's BaseScore of 50/100 places the city in Tier 3: Moderate on the Base Operations risk scale. In 2025, the city recorded 38,000 total incidents across 3 primary categories: Violent Crime (52.6%, 20,000 incidents), Property Crime (39.5%, 15,000 incidents), Regulatory Offenses (7.9%, 3,000 incidents).
BaseScore is a standardized 0–100 risk rating that enables security teams to compare threat levels across any global location using the same validated methodology. Normalized for population density, weighted by crime severity, and updated monthly from 25,000+ sources, BaseScore delivers the consistent, granular intelligence that replaces fragmented government statistics and expensive consulting assessments. Learn more about our methodology
| Tier | Score Range | Risk Label |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0–20 | Minimal |
| 2 | 21–40 | Low |
| 3 | 41–60 | Moderate ← Brasilia |
| 4 | 61–80 | High |
| 5 | 81–100 | Critical |
Intelligence Disclaimer: The following news items are sourced via AI agent analysis of open sources. Confidence levels reflect source reliability — High: government or Base Operations verified data; Medium: multiple corroborating sources; Low: single source or extrapolated. AI agents can provide incorrect or misleading information. For verified, up-to-date threat analysis, use the Base Operations platform.
Source: BBC News | Date: 2024-01-08 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Supporters of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro stormed Congress, the Supreme Court, and the presidential palace in Brasilia on January 8, 2024. The violent protests were in response to the inauguration of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with demonstrators refusing to accept the election results. Security forces later regained control, and hundreds of protesters were arrested.
Source: Reuters | Date: 2024-01-08 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
On January 8, 2024, Brazil commemorated the first anniversary of the violent pro-Bolsonaro riots in Brasilia with heightened security measures. Authorities deployed additional forces to prevent any repeat of the chaos that saw government buildings stormed by supporters of the former president. The event underscored ongoing political tensions in the country.
Source: Al Jazeera | Date: 2024-01-09 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Small-scale protests and demonstrations took place in Brasilia on January 9, 2024, marking the anniversary of the 2023 riots by Bolsonaro supporters. While no major violence was reported, the events highlighted the persistent political polarization in Brazil. Authorities remained on high alert to maintain order in the capital.
Source: The Guardian | Date: 2024-01-07 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Ahead of the first anniversary of the January 8, 2023, riots in Brasilia, Brazilian authorities increased security on January 7, 2024, anticipating potential protests. The government aimed to prevent any unrest similar to the previous year's storming of key institutions by Bolsonaro supporters. No significant demonstrations were reported on this date, but tensions remained high.
Source: France 24 | Date: 2024-01-08 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
On January 8, 2024, Brasilia saw minor demonstrations as Brazil marked one year since the pro-Bolsonaro uprising that shocked the nation. Security was tightened around government buildings to avoid a repeat of the 2023 violence. The anniversary reignited debates over democracy and political extremism in the country.
Brasilia recorded 38,000 total incidents across 3 primary threat categories in 2025.
| Category | 2025 Incidents | % of Total | Monthly Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | 20,000 | 52.6% | 1,667 |
| Property Crime | 15,000 | 39.5% | 1,250 |
| Regulatory Offenses | 3,000 | 7.9% | 250 |
| Total | 38,000 | 100% | 0 |
Data source: Base Operations platform, January–December 2025, Brasilia city-level.
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