Fairfax, Virginia carries a BaseScore of 17/100 (Tier 1: Minimal), with 5,377 total threat incidents recorded across the city in 2025. Security teams evaluating Fairfax for operations, travel, or site selection need street-level intelligence to assess risk across their specific operating locations.
Theft in Fairfax, Virginia — 2025 Overview
Fairfax recorded 5,377 total incidents in 2025, averaging 448 per month. The city's BaseScore of 17/100 (Tier 1: Minimal) reflects the local threat environment. Property Crime accounts for the largest share at 58.5% (3,148 incidents), but threat levels vary at the sub-mile level.
BaseScore and Threat Overview for Fairfax, Virginia
Fairfax's BaseScore of 17/100 places the city in Tier 1: Minimal on the Base Operations risk scale. In 2025, the city recorded 5,377 total incidents across 3 primary categories: Property Crime (58.5%, 3,148 incidents), Violent Crime (26.8%, 1,442 incidents), Regulatory Offenses (14.6%, 787 incidents).
What is BaseScore?
BaseScore is a standardized 0–100 risk rating that enables security teams to compare threat levels across any global location using the same validated methodology. Normalized for population density, weighted by crime severity, and updated monthly from 25,000+ sources, BaseScore delivers the consistent, granular intelligence that replaces fragmented government statistics and expensive consulting assessments. Learn more about our methodology
How Security Teams Use BaseScore
- Get apples-to-apples comparison of risk across your entire location footprint — from Mumbai to Miami to Munich
- Prioritize the highest-risk sites and build a tiered approach to security resource allocation
- Turn hours of manual research into minutes of analysis with standardized, street-level threat intelligence
BaseScore Risk Tiers
| Tier | Score Range | Risk Label |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0–20 | Minimal ← Fairfax |
| 2 | 21–40 | Low |
| 3 | 41–60 | Moderate |
| 4 | 61–80 | High |
| 5 | 81–100 | Critical |
Recent Theft News in Fairfax, Virginia
Intelligence Disclaimer: The following news items are sourced via AI agent analysis of open sources. Confidence levels reflect source reliability — High: government or Base Operations verified data; Medium: multiple corroborating sources; Low: single source or extrapolated. AI agents can provide incorrect or misleading information. For verified, up-to-date threat analysis, use the Base Operations platform.
Fairfax County police investigate string of burglaries in Annandale
Source: FOX 5 DC | Date: 2024-02-14 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Fairfax County Police are investigating a series of burglaries that occurred in the Annandale area over the past month. The incidents primarily targeted residential properties, with suspects breaking in during late hours. Authorities are urging residents to secure their homes and report any suspicious activity.
Man arrested in connection with Fairfax City robbery
Source: NBC4 Washington | Date: 2024-03-05 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
A suspect has been arrested following a robbery at a convenience store in Fairfax City. The incident occurred in early March, with the suspect allegedly threatening the cashier before fleeing with cash. Police apprehended the individual after a brief investigation and are continuing to review related cases.
Fairfax County police seek suspects in commercial burglary spree
Source: WTOP News | Date: 2024-01-29 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Fairfax County Police are searching for multiple suspects involved in a series of commercial burglaries targeting small businesses. The incidents, occurring in late January, resulted in significant property damage and stolen goods. Authorities have released surveillance footage and are asking for public assistance in identifying the perpetrators.
Armed robbery reported at Fairfax County shopping center
Source: InsideNoVa | Date: 2024-02-22 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
An armed robbery took place at a shopping center in Fairfax County, alarming local residents and shoppers. The suspect reportedly brandished a weapon while demanding money from a store employee before escaping. Police are actively investigating and have increased patrols in the area.
Fairfax police warn of rise in home burglaries during holiday season
Source: Patch Fairfax | Date: 2024-01-03 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Fairfax City Police have issued a warning about an increase in home burglaries as the holiday season progresses. Several incidents were reported in early January, with thieves targeting unoccupied homes. Residents are encouraged to use security systems and remain vigilant.
Theft Category Breakdown in Fairfax, Virginia
Fairfax recorded 5,377 total incidents across 3 primary threat categories in 2025.
| Category | 2025 Incidents | % of Total | Monthly Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Property Crime | 3,148 | 58.5% | 262 |
| Violent Crime | 1,442 | 26.8% | 120 |
| Regulatory Offenses | 787 | 14.6% | 66 |
| Total | 5,377 | 100% | 448 |
Data source: Base Operations platform, January–December 2025, Fairfax city-level.
Boundary maps show you how risk shifts block by block so your team spots vulnerabilities other assessments miss.
Drill down to individual incident coordinates for the context your team needs to make confident security recommendations.
See where specific threat types cluster, giving your analysts a clear starting point for any site assessment.
Trusted by proactive security leaders
Base Operations improved our executive security posture by enabling us to proactively identify threats and adjust security measures in both existing, remodeled, or newly acquired residential properties for senior executives. Nearby residential high net worth burglaries and break ins could have been a wake-up call too late. Instead, it became an opportunity to demonstrate the value of data-driven security planning.
Street level intelligence for EP teams is an absolute game-changer. If you're not aware of what this is, the implications, and how this benefits large full scope enterprise teams as well as individual operators, you're behind the curve. I highly recommend folks in the EP space check out Base Operations. Over the last 5+ years, the level of data collected, ingested and analyzed is nothing short of extremely impressive.
Base Operations informs our strategic and routine security planning across the world. The unmatched granularity of micro-intelligence supports our supply chain security planning and dramatically improves our travel security guidance.
Quickly became our key risk evaluation tool for event, travel, and office security. New use cases developed weekly from real estate to leadership insights. Great platform!
In the past 5 days I haven’t closed Base Operations. I give It a 10 out of 10.
