

Tustin, California carries a BaseScore of 41/100 (Tier 3: Moderate), with 28,557 total threat incidents recorded across the city in 2025. Security teams evaluating Tustin for operations, travel, or site selection need street-level intelligence to assess risk across their specific operating locations.
Property Crime is Tustin's largest threat category at 51.5% of all recorded incidents — 14,709 of 28,557 total in 2025. Theft and robbery are primary drivers of this figure. Common types at this volume include retail theft, vehicle break-ins, and opportunistic street robbery.
Tustin's BaseScore of 41/100 places the city in Tier 3: Moderate on the Base Operations risk scale. In 2025, the city recorded 28,557 total incidents across 3 primary categories: Property Crime (51.5%, 14,709 incidents), Regulatory Offenses (25.9%, 7,385 incidents), Violent Crime (22.6%, 6,463 incidents).
BaseScore is a standardized 0–100 risk rating that enables security teams to compare threat levels across any global location using the same validated methodology. Normalized for population density, weighted by crime severity, and updated monthly from 25,000+ sources, BaseScore delivers the consistent, granular intelligence that replaces fragmented government statistics and expensive consulting assessments. Learn more about our methodology
| Tier | Score Range | Risk Label |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0–20 | Minimal |
| 2 | 21–40 | Low |
| 3 | 41–60 | Moderate ← Tustin |
| 4 | 61–80 | High |
| 5 | 81–100 | Critical |
Intelligence Disclaimer: The following news items are sourced via AI agent analysis of open sources. Confidence levels reflect source reliability — High: government or Base Operations verified data; Medium: multiple corroborating sources; Low: single source or extrapolated. AI agents can provide incorrect or misleading information. For verified, up-to-date threat analysis, use the Base Operations platform.
Source: OC Register | Date: 2024-02-15 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Tustin Police announced the arrest of a 34-year-old man linked to multiple residential burglaries in the area. The suspect was caught after a homeowner reported suspicious activity, leading to a swift police response. Authorities are investigating whether he is connected to other recent thefts in Orange County.
Source: ABC7 Los Angeles | Date: 2024-03-22 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
An armed robbery at a Tustin convenience store resulted in a clerk sustaining minor injuries during a confrontation with the suspect. The incident occurred late at night, and police are searching for the suspect who fled with cash. Surveillance footage has been released to the public to aid in the investigation.
Source: KTLA 5 | Date: 2024-05-10 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
A Tustin jewelry store was targeted in a brazen smash-and-grab robbery, with thieves stealing thousands of dollars in merchandise. The incident occurred in broad daylight, and police are reviewing security footage to identify the suspects. No injuries were reported during the robbery.
Source: Tustin News | Date: 2024-06-03 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
Residents of several Tustin neighborhoods have reported a wave of car break-ins over the past week, with valuables stolen from unlocked vehicles. Tustin Police are urging residents to secure their cars and report suspicious activity. No suspects have been identified yet, but patrols have been increased in the affected areas.
Source: NBC Los Angeles | Date: 2024-01-29 | Confidence: Medium
Security implication: Street-level threat data helps security teams assess localized risk patterns that city-level statistics miss — enabling data-driven decisions for personnel safety and asset protection.
A Tustin business owner interrupted an attempted burglary at their store, causing the suspect to flee before police arrived. The incident occurred in the early morning hours, and no items were reported stolen. Authorities are asking for public assistance in identifying the individual involved.
Tustin recorded 28,557 total incidents across 3 primary threat categories in 2025.
| Category | 2025 Incidents | % of Total | Monthly Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Property Crime | 14,709 | 51.5% | 1,226 |
| Regulatory Offenses | 7,385 | 25.9% | 615 |
| Violent Crime | 6,463 | 22.6% | 539 |
| Total | 28,557 | 100% | 2,389 |
Data source: Base Operations platform, January–December 2025, Tustin city-level.
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